October 18, 2020
MY CORNER by Boyd
Cathey
The Polls, Donald
Trump, and Secession
Friends,
Far too
many pundits and commentators live and die by polls. It seems that each day
some on-air talking head or online spinmeister reveals breathlessly increasingly
bad results for President Trump and anyone who dares to support him or intends
to vote for him.
Consider
the following headlines blasted out recently by television news:
“The
President has now slipped again in the polls and is behind Biden in the six
battleground states.”
“Trump is
behind Biden now by 12 points.”
“Georgia,
a once safe GOP stronghold, is now in play, as is Texas.”
And the
pattern goes on, daily and incessantly.
At the
same time, Joe Biden’s essentially stay-at-home, don’t-rock-the-boat, don’t-answer-controversial-questions
strategy seems to be working if you believe the pundits. Witness his “town
hall” forum Thursday night, October 15, on the ABC network, where
not only he faced a moderator (George Stephanopoulos, a former Clinton hack)
who served up careful soft-ball questions to him, but planted
supporters who did likewise. Nothing really difficult, nothing that
would disturb his visible senility and obvious inability to form or give a
substantial answer to a mildly challenging question.
Of
course, even if it is true that many Trump voters will vote for the president
despite his rough exterior and bull-in-a-china-shop approach to issues, most of
Biden’s supporters will pull the Democratic lever not because Biden is a
fountain of intellectual brilliance and political savviness, but because of
their hatred of Donald Trump…a hatred engendered by the media, the educational
establishment, and the entertainment industry.
Back
in 2016 actually only
one polling outfit got almost everything right about the
presidential election. The Scott
Rasmussen organization—Rasmussen Reports—came out ahead of nearly all eleven
major polling groups: “Rasmussen Reports told you all along that it was a much closer race than
most other pollsters predicted. We
weren’t surprised Election Night. They were."
Once again Rasmussen is predicting a
much closer election than the other polling organizations, including Fox (who
were miserably wrong in 2016).
The
results of the most recent Rasmussen Reports survey (Wednesday, October 14)
have Biden ahead of Trump by
only five percentage points, 50% to 45%, comparable to the polling results
at this time in 2016.
Following
the helter-skelter first presidential debate (September 29) and the initial
flurry of news about the nomination of Judge Amy Coney Barrett to replace deceased
Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, the president apparently took a hit.
Rasmussen had Trump
losing to Biden by 12 points: “In mid-September, the candidates were neck and neck, but following Trump’s
announcement that he was nominating federal Judge Amy Coney Barrett to the U.S.
Supreme Court, Biden moved from a narrow one-point lead to eight points ahead.
Last week following the candidates’ first debate and Trump’s coronavirus
diagnosis, the Democrat jumped to a 12-point advantage.”
That survey occurred between
September 30 (immediately after the first debate) and October 1 and 4-6.
But between those dates and the most
recent Rasmussen Reports (October 14) three
things happened. First came the vice-presidential debate on October 7, with
Vice-President Mike Pence squaring off with Senator Kamala Harris, who
continually smirked
condescendingly at
Pence, but also at the American electorate. Pence’s performance was substantive
and direct, and overall a compelling case for the current administration.
Secondly, viewers had an opportunity
to watch and digest portions of the televised Senate hearings with Amy Coney
Barrett. After viewing her poise and unrattled intelligence on display in the
face of some very hostile questions from Democratic members of the upper
legislative chamber, the latest Rasmussen survey indicates “that 51% of likely
U.S. voters believe the Senate should confirm Barrett as a Supreme Court
justice based on what they know at this time. That’s a 12-point increase from 39% when we
first asked this question in late September just after President Trump
nominated Barrett to fill the seat of the late Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Forty
percent (40%) still disagree, but that’s down from 49% in the first survey.”
And, thirdly, the president made a
quick and total recovery from the COVID-19 virus, and is back on the electoral
trail as the happy warrior he normally is—while Biden, forced now to get out of
his basement occasionally, continues to avoid inconvenient questions, with the
blatantly obvious assistance of the major media.
Significantly,
in this age of virulent cancel culture and personal reputation assassination by
the Progressivist thuggery online (and on the air), and the real fear that many
voters have about revealing their political sentiments to
pollsters—particularly true of conservatives—even the 50% to 45% results may
belie something that is actually happening beyond the surveys of pollsters,
just as in 2016. In fact, the Trafalgar Group chief pollster Robert Cahaly
forecasts that the “silent
Trump vote” will be twice as large for the president this year than
in the last election and that he will win a very tight electoral victory.
Add to
this the growing Hunter
Biden/Joe Biden “pay-to-play” scandal (as revealed in
solidly-sourced articles in the New York
Post)…a situation that the establishment media and the tech giants Facebook
and Twitter have done their damnedest to suppress and keep a lid on. Thus far they have been partially successful,
but the next two weeks may see additional permutations and explosive news
details. Look for the tightening and frenzied grip of the Leftist tech monopoly
on our public discourse, as the Deep State apparatchiks strive desperately to avoid
a repeat of 2016.
The
question now is just what will take place on November 3, and then, in the days
that follow when hundreds of thousands, perhaps millions of votes will be
“found” and the specter of suddenly-appearing ballots or tossed ballots will
raise its ugly head.
No presidential
election since 1860 (including the disputed one in 2000) has been fraught with
such momentous consequences. Indeed, mainstream writers have raised the
question of possible separation or secession of some states. It would not be
much of a stretch politically to see California, Oregon, and Washington State
refuse to accept a Donald Trump electoral victory, especially if the popular
vote goes against him. Indeed, George Mason University law professor F. H.
Buckley, in his volume American
Secession: The Looming Threat of A National Breakup (Encounter Books), suggests
this a serious possibility. And I have done likewise in two widely diffused articles
first published by The Abbeville Institute: “Is
Secession the Answer?” from February 4, 2019, and “Is
Political Separation in Our Future?” from August 19, 2019.
More and
more it seems certain that the Southern constitutionalists in late 1860 and early 1861 were right historically, and the conclusion of the
military conflict in 1865 in fact did not really settle fundamental issues. The
post-war triumph of 19th century liberalism and big financial
capitalism, followed by the onrushing waves of state socialism conjoined with
globalism as an almost natural result, just perhaps have run their course. We
live, it seems, in a geographical entity, once a nation founded on certain
principles that fully one half of the population now angrily rejects and
scorns.
The next
month or two will be a crucial watershed in the history of the country welded
together with such great hopes in 1787. Will it continue as we have known it?
Will the Progressivist totalitarians finally secure complete control? Will
violence on a scale never before seen in our history erupt on our streets?
I don’t
know…but since I was doxxed
by Leftwing crazies over in Chapel Hill late this summer, I am
sleeping with a pistol next to my bed. God help us all.
The abolition of the federal government and the restoration of 50 sovereign states is truly the ONLY solution to this mess. I applaud all the states who are now calling for secession. They throw it out like its a threat, while millions would love to see them go. We can no longer live together. Indeed, there are tens of millions who simply wish to be left along, and tens of millions more who simply cannot leave anything alone. By what right do 535+ mostly lawyers, along with a million or so unelected bureaucrats, have the power to control and regulate every second of the lives of 320,000,000 people in this country? The Constitution certainly doesn't give them that right, yet none of them will freely give up this power over us. Only freedom and liberty will have a chance at preventing the bloodshed that is right around the corner. #Peacefulseparation is the answer. Time to support it and let go of the fantasy of this nation that has never been true.
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